According to the SBI Ecowrap report, the extension of the lockdown would result in economic loss of Rs 21.1 trillion or 6 per cent of the nominal GVA
The lengthening of the mandatory stay-at-home period to 40 days from 21 days will result in a direct output loss of more than 8 per cent over that time, according to Sonal Varma of Nomura Holdings.
Subramanian, along with public policy expert Devesh Kapur of Johns Hopkins University, was speaking at a webinar organised by National Council of Applied Economic Research.
Farm sector growth will top 3 per cent in the year started April 1, Ramesh Chand, an adviser to PM Narendra Modi, said in an interview.
As per the World Bank's latest assessment, India is expected to grow 1.5 per cent to 2.8 per cent during the current fiscal due to the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and consequent lockdown
The country will still be the fastest growing large economy this financial year, but it will lose that tag next year to China, says the agency.
The stimulus package is expected anytime this week and will again be aimed at the urban and rural poor; disadvantaged sections of society; MSME sector; and some of the worst-affected sectors
Earlier, ICRA had expected GDP to fall by 4.5 per cent in the first quarter when lockdown was for 21 days till April 14.
The sectors that have been most impacted are transport, hospitality, and real estate
The opposition party also demanded that the Centre pays all pending dues to states to enable them to fight the outbreak, besides giving each of them special packages.
It estimated India will grow 4.8 per cent to 5 per cent in the 2019-20 fiscal that ended on March 31
The rise in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) helped pull up cumulative growth in industrial output to 0.9 per cent in the April-February period of 2019-20,
RBI failed to gauge a greater-than-anticipated contraction in gross-fixed capital formation and continuing weak activity, especially in the rural areas.
India's GDP growth for the fiscal year 2019-2020 was estimated at 5 per cent and is forecast to slow down to 4.8 per cent for the current fiscal 2020-21.
The policy boost by the government and the RBI will help the economy and the financial system immensely, says Manish Gunwani
"The potential slowdown of the economy will be determined by the duration of the lockdown, and the economic policy choices taken to ensure a safe recovery," said Tanvee Gupta Jain
Further, most firms (80 per cent) have claimed that their inventory was lying idle at present
Growth in South Asia will decelerate to 4.1 per cent in FY2021 and then recover to 6 per cent in FY2022, largely tracking the trend in the dominant Indian economy, according to ADB
While JP Morgan believes 'cash is king' given the uncertainty that lies ahead, selective buying from a long-term perspective can be done in defensive plays
Moody's said, at the 2020 estimated growth rate, a sharp fall in incomes in India is likely, further weighing on domestic demand and the pace of recovery in 2021.