The economy is slowly getting back to normalcy as the number of Covid-19 cases is declining, he said
GDP, according to their estimates, is likely to contract by 4.3 per cent quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q2, much smaller than during the first wave (-24.7 per cent)
Going forward, the inflation trajectory is likely to be shaped by uncertainties impinging on the upside and the downside. The rising trajectory of international commodity prices, especially of crude
Vaccination holds the key on the growth front going ahead, he said, warning that if the inoculations fall short, it can shave off 1 percentage point from the GDP growth estimate
Share of corporation tax collections in gross tax revenue falls to 10-year low
India's financial sector, the rating agency said, is the main driver of potential event risk to the sovereign
Barclays has pegged growth at 7.7 per cent in a bear-case scenario, if the country is hit by a third wave of the pandemic.
The recovery in Q4 was nevertheless impressive in the sense that nominal GDP grew at 8.7 per cent
The situation changed over the second half as gradual unlocking, easier financial conditions and higher household financial savings, helped stoke pent-up demand
The recovery cannot be investments-led because most enterprises are nursing excess capacities
The positives apart, it is clear consumption can't rebound meaningfully without large-scale vaccination; the good news is the rate is likely to improve steadily in the coming months
Indeed, while FY21 GDP reinforces the sharp slowdown in growth in a pandemic year, it also offers a low base for a mechanical bounce in FY22 recovery
Unveiling the revenue-expenditure data of the Union government for 2020-21, the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) on Monday said that the revenue deficit at the end of the fiscal was 7.42 per cent
However, for the full fiscal year, they see economy contracting 7-8%
Our pessimistic tail-risk scenario assumes another wave of infections and a two-month period of restrictions that disrupt economic activity, Barclays said
The United Nations has raised India's growth forecast to 7.5 per cent for calendar year 2021, but said the country's outlook for the year remains highly fragile
Japanese brokerage Nomura cut its GDP growth estimate for the current 2021-22 fiscal to 10.8 per cent from the earlier 12.6 per cent, blaming the impact of the second wave-induced lockdowns
India's economic growth may slip to 8.2% if the second wave peaks at end of June, domestic rating agency Crisil warned on Monday, maintaining its baseline estimate of an 11% uptick in activity
Covid-19 infections in India have surged past 21 million, with a death toll of 230,168, health ministry data showed
Lockdowns could thwart robust rebound