The election outcome by the end of May is crucial for the currency
The rupee closed at 69.87 a dollar on Wednesday, down from its previous close of 69.62
The currency has shown a tendency to flip directions after polls have been completed, according to a study by Edelweiss Securities Pvt
In the latest survey of nearly 50 strategists, taken April 1-3, the rupee was forecast to weaken about 3 percent over the next year to 70.38
RBI's proposal to swap $5 billion with banks is also viewed positively by the market
Elections, fiscal slippage, inflation bottoming and risk of oil prices picking up closer to $70 a barrel in May if Iran crude waiver expires remain key risks
The Goldman bonds, even with zero coupon, are issued at a discount implying a yield of 6.947%
The rupee is already the worst performer this year in Asia ex-Japan amid the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming elections, where Prime Minister Narendra Modi is seen facing a tight contest
India's rupee has gone from being the best-performing Asian currency last quarter to the worst this year as rising crude prices and tensions over Kashmir weigh on sentiment.
While a rate cut typically lowers a currency's yield appeal, it bolsters foreign inflows into local shares, which helps strengthen the rupee
The report further noted that it would be roller coaster ride for crude oil in 2019 as Opec and Russia have resorted to a production cut; while on the other hand, US is increasing its production
The Modi government is set to present its last Budget and is expected to have major announcements
In the previous session, the currency edged higher by 4 paise to settle at 71.08 amid weakness in the greenback in overseas markets after the US Fed kept interest rate unchanged.
"Today, USD/INR pair is expected to quote in the range of 70.70 and 71.40," Gaurang Somaiya, Research Analyst (Currency) at MOFSL added.
The domestic unit weakened by 10 paise to close at 71.17 on Friday amid increasing demand for the greenback from exporters and heavy selling in domestic equities.
The domestic unit gained 26 paise to close at 71.07 as softer crude prices and gains in domestic equities bolstered forex market sentiments.
In the previous session, the domestic unit snapped its three-day losing streak and settled 11 paise higher at 71.33 on increased selling of the American currency by exporters and banks.
The domestic unit skidded by 16 paise on Tuesday to settle at 71.44 amid strengthening of the greenback and heavy selling in domestic equities.
The domestic unit Friday weakened by 16 paise to close at 71.19 against US dollar
On Thursday, the domestic unit reversed its four-day losing streak by recovering 21 paise to settle at 71.03.